The Big Short
Hi ya Frank, how are the wife and kids?
You know, shouldn't y'all be considering
treasury bonds or utility stocks?
In the late seventies
banking wasn't a job you went into
to make large sums of money.
It was a f***ing snooze!
Filled with losers!
Like selling insurance,
or accounting
and if banking was boring...
Then the bond department at the bank
was straight up comatose.
We all know about bonds...
You give em to your snot nosed kid
when he turns fifteen
maybe when he's thirty
Boring!
That is until Lewis rainieri
came on the scene at Salomon brothers
you might not know who he is
but he changed your life more than Michael
Jordan, the I-pod and YouTube put together!
Hey gentlemen, let's get
some money in here.
Let's make some money!
What do you say?!
You see, Lewis didn't know it yet,
but he already changed banking forever
with one simple idea.
The mortgage backed security.
Or... private label mbs
you got your average persons mortgage
fixed rate, thirty years, boring!
Same, small payoff. Right!
But
When you add thousands of them
all bundled together
suddenly, the yield goes up, but the
risk is still small, because...
Well, they're mortgages, and who the
hell doesn't pay their mortgage?
What exactly is the
credit-rating on this bond?
This bond gentlemen...
Is AAA-rating!
This is exactly what the Michigan state
pension fund has been looking for!
I'll buy twenty million!
Oh come on, live a little!
Twenty five million!
And for the first time, the banker went
from the country-club to the strip-club.
Pretty soon, stocks and savings
were almost inconsequential.
They were doing fifty, a hundred,
two hundred billion in mortgage bonds
and dozens of other securities a year.
And America barely noticed that it's number
one industry became boring old banking
and then one day,
almost thirty years later, in 2008
it all came crashing down!
Bear sterns was in a death spiral
and the fed brokered it's sale.
In the end Lewis Rainier's
mortgage backed security mutated
into a monstrosity that collapsed
the whole world economy
and none of the experts, or leaders,
or talking heads had a clue it was coming.
And I'm guessing most of you
still don't really know what happened.
Yeah, you got to have somebody to repeat
so you don't sound dumb, but come on
Our financial institutions are strong!
But there were some who saw it coming.
While the whole world was
having a big old party, few
outsiders and weirdos saw
what no-one else could.
Not me, I'm not a weirdo,
I'm pretty f***ing
cool, but we'll
meet again later!
These outsiders saw the giant lie
at the heart of the economy
and they saw it by doing something the
rest of the suckers never thought to do.
They looked
through the nineteen thirties
The housing market collapsed...
Nationwide.
By approximately 8 percent.
And halve of all .. Eh... worries that...
It wasn't default.
There were.. Very...
Specific identifiers.
Extremely recognizable.
Wait... for instance
w-w-w-w one of the hallmarks of mania.
Is that rapid rise and complexity,
and the rates... they are fraud-ed
did you know...
They're going up!
I've always been.. More comfortable..
When alone.
I believe... maybe... it's because of...
My glass eye.
I lost the eye...
In a childhood illness.
Separates me from people.
Did you know... they're going up!
Highest frog-rates since
the nineteen thirties.
No, I didn't know that.
I mean.. Ghe Ghe Ghe...
Nine... nineteen thirty three
the fourth year of the great depression
you were playing saying great son,
even heard the coach say it!
Can we just go home?
All social interf.. Actions
are awkward for me and for the... person
even when I try to compliment...
It somehow... it comes out wrong...
You have a very nice haircut,
you do it yourself?
Huh, what?
No, I eh...
I'm sorry... please...
Pffffff...
I'm going on and on.
My wife told me I need to share more.
That seems healthy.
So .. I get the job?
I really think I could help you fund.
Yeah...
Yeah... sure!
You're David!...
David... great!
I guess I'll go find a desk. Is there
anything you want me to work on for start?
Eh... yeah.
You could let me know later!
s D... d... d... did ya... did you/s
think it was strange when...
Ehm...
The tech-bubble burst in 2001
and the housing market in San-Jose.
Tech-capitol of the world...
Went up...
It's strange...
No, no!
It's housing...
Housing is always stable... low-risk.
That's the idea... yeah.
I want you to get me...
The... eh... Top-20 selling mortgage bonds
so, you want to know
what the top-20 selling mortgage bonds are?
No, no, no, I want to know
what mortgages are in each one
- what.. Wait...
- Aren't those mortgages made up of
wait... aren't those bonds made up of
thousands and thousands of mortgages?
Yeah...
Right away, Dr. Burris.
Nice guy... all day long.
Hmm.. Ask anyone... Hmm,
pleasure to work with.
The second my son screws up,
and...
You'll hang it to him...
Just like my dad did to me.
You hear the words that are
coming out of my mouth.
Sorry I'm late, no cabs!
Aah
so get this...
I met with this retail banker yesterday..
I'm supposed to be getting
him to invest in a fund,
instead, I start drilling him
about overdraft analysis
and how his bank will let customers
write ten... twelve cheques
before telling them they're overdrawing.
And this creep...
Is making billions off
screwing over people this way.
And I'm getting madder and madder,
and I ask him.
I look him in the face and I say:
How can you sleep at night, knowing...
That you're ripping off working people.
And know what he did...
He left!
He just walks out of the lunch,
doesn't say a word.
What the f*** is that?
Who's f***ed up in that scenario?
Am I?
Or is this douche-bag?
Who leaves me hanging...
Is he the f***ed up one?
Trying to make me feel bad about myself!
We have talk about this numerous times
f*** him! -You can't come in late
and hijack the entire session!
What do you mean, I didn't
hijack the meeting.
Did I hijack this session?
Yeah
what do you do?
I'm in commodities.
Good luck with that!
Marc...
I know you've suffered a terrible loss,
do you want to talk about that?
I don't talk about that.
Hold on...
Hold on..
Sh*t.. Let's take this, sorry!
Sorry!
I don't care Porter...
This guy's whole business is build upon
ripping people off, how long can that last?
Bye everybody!
85...
That's 30 days late, that's 60 days late.
Pay on time.
These fico-scores
they're caught up with their pants...
30 days late...
Loan to value... maybe 5
maybe 90
60 days late, jeez!
I've never heard of that.
30 days late
he hasn't move all day.
He does this every few days.
Hasn't spoken to me since he hired me.
Michael, how are you guy?!
I've put out something
really interesting...
Great Michael, whenever you find something
interesting, we all sit to make money.
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