The Big Short Page #2
What stock are you vowing?
No, no, no no.. I wanna,
I wanna short the housing market.
Really?
But the housing market is rock-solid!
Green span just said:
"Bubbles are regional, defaults are rare!"
Tell em I'll be there in a minute
say again!
Look...
Greenspan's wrong!
Look, I don't think you mean to do this,
but eh..
Sometimes you sound very
dismissive and superior.
It's a fact, Greenspans wrong.
I don't know how if you want your thr...
Look, Michael...
Metro capitol backed you four years ago
when you were a doctor with a
dinky wet page
and some inheritance money,
we've all done very well, look...
Why don't you just stick with stocks...
You know me...
I, I, I, I,
I look for value,
wherever it can be found.
The fact is
that these mortgage backed securities
are filled with extremely risky
sub-prime adjustable rates.
And when the majority of these
adjustable rates kick in... in '07
they will begin to fail
and if they fail above 15 percent
the whole bond is worthless.
Michael, just take a beat,
we'll talk about this later!
Lawrence please, don't patronize me,
if... it .. Is...
Mortgage backed securities,
sub-prime loans, tranches...
Doesn't it make you feel bored...
Or stupid...
Well... it's supposed to.
Wall-street loves to use
confusing terms, to
make you think only they
can do what they do.
Or even better...
For you just to leave them the f*** alone.
So... here's Margot Robbie
in a bubble-bath to explain.
Basically, Lewis
rainieri's mortgage bonds
were amazingly profitable
for the big banks.
But then they ran out of
mortgages to put in them.
After all, there are only
so many homes and so many
people with good enough
jobs to buy them... right?
So the banks started filling these
bonds with riskier and riskier mortgages
thank you Henry
that way, they can keep that
profit machine churning right?
By the way, these risky
mortgages are called: Sub-prime.
So... whenever you hear sub-prime...
Think:
Sh*tour friend Michael burry found out,
that were supposedly 65 percent AAA,
were actually just, basically full of sh*t.
So now he's going to short the bonds
which means... bet against.
Got it?...
Good!
Now f*** off!
It's only a matter of
time before someone else
sees this investment,
we have to act now.
How do you know the bonds are worthless?
Aren't they filled with f***ing
thousands of pages of mortgages?
I read them!
You read them?
I read... yeah!
No-one reads them, only the lawyers
who put them together read them!
I don't think they even
know what they've made
the housing market is
propped up on these bad loans.
It's a time-bomb and I want to short it.
Through what instrument Michael?
There are no insurance-contracts
or options for mortgage bonds.
The bonds are too stable!
Lawrence...
This is what I'm gonna do...
I am gonna get a bank to make me one.
Then...
I'm gonna buy it.
I don't want that kind of business!
Money is not money!
That's bad money!
Hey... excuse me!
Let me ask you this: What company treats
its customers that shittily and succeeds?
Fine... ok... Goldman...
Without proving it
when he was a kid he excelled
at studying the Talmud and yeshiva.
Whatever!
But, one day his rabbi told his mom why.
Paul is a fine boy and mark is an
excellent student of the torah and Talmud
then what's the problem rabbi?
It's the reason mark is studying so hard.
He's looking for inconsistencies
in the word of god!
So has he found any?
Later Baum started his
own fund on wall-street.
He had an amazing nose for bullshit.
He wasn't afraid to let anyone know,
when and where the bull had gone number 2.
Then a tragedy happened to mark
and it turned his whole world really dark
whole system was a lie.
Hold on!
It's Cynthia,
I'll be in the office in twenty minutes.
Hi honey!
The therapist called...
You did it again!
There were no cabs...
What was I supposed to do?
I worry about you mark!
At least I went
you're running around like you
have to right every wrong in the world.
Ok... fine!
How angry
you know what...
I'm a mean guy and I'm pissed off!
But... it is a shitstorm
out here sweetie. You
have no idea the kind of
crap people are pulling.
And everybody is walking around like
they're in a goddamn Enya-video.
They're all getting screwed you know!
You know what they care about?
They care about the ballgame!
Or they care about what
actresses went into rehab!
I, I think you should try medication!
No, no, we agreed,
if it interfered with work.
You hate wall-street,
but maybe it's time to quit?
I love my job!
You hate your job!
I love my job!
You're miserable!
I love my job,
I love my job honey!
Mark!
I am sad every day about what happened.
I know you must feel the same,
but you never show it!
I knew how close you were to your brother.
Cab!
Where'd ya go pal?
Cab!!
Everyday I think you're gonna talk
about it, and you're gonna do!
Will you ever think about
the idea of making a change?
Fine, fine, honey, you know what,
I will consider it, but honestly...
Cynthia I'm ok,
I really am!
Hey, hey!
No, no, my cab!
That's my cab, that's my cab,
that is my cab!
Schmuck! F*** you!
F*** you!
I'll call you later.
I wanna buy...
Swaps on mortgage bonds
credit default swap, that will pay off...
If the underlying...
Bond fails.
You want to bet against
the housing market? Yes
why?
Those bonds only fail if millions of
Americans don't pay their mortgages.
That's never happened in history.
If you'll excuse me Dr. burry,
that seems like a foolish investment.
Based on... prevailing sentiment of the
market and banks, and popular culture...
Yes, it's a foolish investment.
But eh...
Everyone's wrong...
That's a good one.
This is wall-street Dr. burry, if you offer
us free money, we're going to take it
my one concern is, is that.. Eh..
When the bonds fail..
Eh... I want to be certain,
of payment,
in case of solvency issues with the bank.
I'm sorry, are you for real?
You want to bet against the housing market,
and you're worried we won't pay you?
Yes.. That's correct.
whispersListen.. I don't
think this will work...
whispers
the market on housing is never gonna crash
whispers
this is all rock-solid by now
whispers
it wouldn't even if we wanted it to.
whispers
kinda hard one to deal with...
whispers
did he awestruck you?
Mmhhhh.
Dr burry, we could work
out a pay-as-we-go
structure that would
payout if the bonds fail.
It would also apply to your payments
if the value of the mortgage-fund goes up
you'd have to pay us monthly premiums.
Is that acceptable Dr. burry?
Yes.. It is, yes.
Em.. I have prospectuses on,
six mortgage-backed securities
I want to show you
whispers the majority of
them are accepted mortgages.
Dr burry, these should be fine!
We're prepared to
sell you 5 million in
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"The Big Short" Scripts.com. STANDS4 LLC, 2024. Web. 23 Dec. 2024. <https://www.scripts.com/script/the_big_short_19779>.
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